Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009799 0.011796 0.014285 0.017687 0.022336 0.028660 0.038282
2024-10-20 0.007263 0.009470 0.012573 0.017481 0.025539 0.039341 0.067993
2024-10-27 0.006241 0.008604 0.012227 0.018640 0.030932 0.057122 0.134215
2024-11-03 0.005625 0.008106 0.012186 0.020146 0.037764 0.084863 0.301386
2024-11-10 0.005178 0.007742 0.012221 0.021754 0.045986 0.128857 0.848820
2024-11-17 0.004639 0.007107 0.011601 0.021764 0.050414 0.170809 2.396787
2024-11-24 0.004173 0.006517 0.010922 0.021392 0.053620 0.218018 9.477033
2024-12-01 0.003683 0.005810 0.009878 0.019817 0.051992 0.237120 34.065132
2024-12-08 0.003327 0.005305 0.009160 0.018860 0.052071 0.272418 1454.813407
2024-12-15 0.003096 0.005006 0.008818 0.018787 0.055597 0.357016 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002942 0.004832 0.008709 0.019322 0.062317 0.534133 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002775 0.004613 0.008464 0.019394 0.067215 0.761162 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002523 0.004226 0.007839 0.018325 0.066501 0.920591 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002349 0.003979 0.007507 0.018114 0.070890 1.432063 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002271 0.003917 0.007599 0.019334 0.086502 4.278304 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002213 0.003888 0.007765 0.020920 0.109437 35.744112 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002159 0.003860 0.007929 0.022616 0.140296 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002047 0.003693 0.007696 0.022627 0.154621 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001933 0.003511 0.007394 0.022234 0.163850 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001790 0.003250 0.006844 0.020573 0.151460 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001679 0.003055 0.006457 0.019566 0.147999 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001606 0.002942 0.006285 0.019489 0.159959 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001557 0.002880 0.006249 0.020051 0.186881 NaN NaN